Some weeks ago a Cabinet Secretary tried to
address belligerent mourners at a funeral in Kisii and was shouted down
even when forced to revert to his native tongue in an attempt to calm
them.
Government officials who tried to address members of the Maasai
community who'd been evicted from their homes in Naivasha met a
similarly hostile reception and were forced to beat a hasty retreat.
This was followed not long after by a by-election in Makueni in what was
Eastern Province, where a CORD candidate who had campaigned for merely
four days and won over 90 percent of the vote pulverized the ruling
Jubilee party's candidate.
All this transpired as the government and our Kenya National Union of
Teachers (KNUT) went back and forth in an increasingly acrimonious
negotiation over salaries. Eventually, it took the intervention of the
Deputy President and President themselves to work out a solution which
nevertheless left a bitter taste in the mouth when teachers realized the
government had deducted the days they had been on strike from their
July salaries.
This was eventually sorted out and the salaries paid in full in
August. Curiously, one of the 'conditions' of the deal was that the
teachers support the Jubilee government's ambitious school
computerization programme - not a sign of confidence.
I spent a week in Western Province recently. Mainly listening to
groups of citizens of all ages as they analyzed their condition and the
general Kenyan one as well. I was particularly keen on visiting friends
in Bungoma and Trans Nzoia where episodes of criminality and violence
against individuals and families had seemingly escalated dramatically
since the election in March.
People I knew had lost their lives in the spate of insecurity that is
ongoing to this day. Indeed, as I left a gang raided Kumukuywa Market
in Bungoma North and killed one administration policeman and injured
another. The officers were reportedly responding to calls for help by
villagers who were under attack by the gang.
This violent incident was merely the latest of many since the
election that have turned the lives of many Kenyans from Trans Nzoia,
through Bungoma and into Busia Counties upside down. More than the
violence itself and the succession of funerals it has caused, the
apparent helplessness of the security forces in the face of it has been
the most confusing and disconcerting. It has done much to undermine
already low confidence in the security services and administration
generally.
"LET THE AIRPORT BURN!"
Then a week and half ago the arrivals terminal of the region's main
transport hub, our Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) burnt
down. I was late in catching up with this shocking news. The fire
happened on the anniversary of the terrorist attack on the US Embassy in
Nairobi in 1998 so unsurprisingly initial speculation was that they'd
struck again.
Such ideas were quickly set aside, however, as it became clear the
cause may have been very domestic and the response hugely embarrassing
in its ineptitude. What struck me, however, was when I raised the issue
with individuals who don't support (some don't even recognize) the
Jubilee government as 'theirs'. The attitude was, "Let it burn! Let them
learn!" The them here being very much the Jubilee administration and
more specifically when pressed, them being Gikuyus first and Kalenjins
second. This depth of polarization astounded me.
When the Ufundi Cooperative House collapsed as a result of the 1998
attack on the US Embassy I remember the way Kenyans rallied together in
one of the most inspiring moments of national unity and pride in
decades. Even President Moi, Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Charity Ngilu
and Kijana Wamalwa temporarily set aside their political differences and
in a tremendously shrewd and unifying move - all visited the site of
the collapse together.
The current atmosphere most certainly doesn't seem to allow for such
episodes of nation-building displays of leadership. This should be of
considerable concern to all of us all. This is especially the case, when
one considers the fact that the divisive ICC process kicks off next
month with the start of William Ruto's case.
I was struck this week by the number of questions put to me about
what this case would mean if it emerges that some of the over 40
witnesses the Chief Prosecutor has lined up against him are Gikuyu or
Luo etc... This disconcerted quizzing is caused primarily by the fact
that, in my opinion, in an effort to 'keep the peace' and play down the
ICC cases as interrupters of national events, supporters of the
President and Deputy President and elements of the media have played up
the fact that with every witness who falls by the wayside, the cases
will collapse.
So much so that in some parts of the country there are those who
believe such a collapse to be inevitable. It may very well be. I don't
know. On the other hand it may very well not be the case. Then what?
Similarly, with regard to the Makueni by-election, the comportment of
area residents that I have spoken to changes immediately you gently
enquire into why the community voted so overwhelmingly against the
government; for it was more a vote against than for anybody or anything;
it was a demonstration of feelings collectively and deeply held. One
voter told me, "In Makueni we could have elected a dog as Senator to
teach them a lesson!" In the same vein Kisii acquaintances I ask about
the fate of government officials who found themselves on the receiving
end of epithets at the funeral last month are more likely than not to
respond saying the incident filled them with pride and satisfaction.
This attitude "We need to show them" emerges out of a narrative among
many non-Gikuyus that 'the Gikuyu are the problem'. Prior to the
elections there was much talk of the 'consequences' of electing
individuals who are defendants before the International Criminal Court
(ICC) especially from the international community.
These have not materialized in a manner that Kenyans feel or take
seriously. Indeed, the more profound consequences have emerged out of
the toxic narrative of 'the tyranny of numbers', which essentially holds
that the Gikuyu, Embu and Meru plus one other large community and a
pliant electoral body have elections sown up in perpetuity.
A soft insurgency has grown out of this that has gained a currency so
compelling that in entire swathes of the country - especially in
Eastern, Western, Coast and Nyanza - one can ask if there exists in
coherent form any legitimate and functional central authority in Kenya.
For indeed, it is the central authority of the regime that has suffered
the most dramatic attrition as a result of the accompanying process of
devolution. Among the security services, one senses an almost
existential discombobulation on the part of forces - the provincial
administration and police in particular - that are at sea in this new
order. It almost makes one conclude that it shan't be long before the
Counties - which are political units in which wananchi have most vested
their ownership and legitimacy, make a robust claim to the provision of
security at the County level too.
In some of these areas, Gikuyu traders have already started to
complain of a 'cold war' on the business front, for example, with
non-Gikuyu customers opting to take their business elsewhere.
Regimes whose legitimacy is questioned by certain communities and in
certain parts of the country are not new to Kenya. During the Moi era,
especially after the reintroduction of political pluralism, much of
Central Province and other parts of the country inhabited by the Gikuyu
community effectively 'checked out' and turned their backs to the
regime. The provincial administration in these areas treaded carefully
in the understanding that they were in politically hostile territory. A
similar fate has befallen the Kenyatta presidency this time around.
There are parts of the country where people can't utter the words: "Rais
Uhuru Kenyatta". This 'belligerent' turning of backs to the
administration is, however, received on the ground by the President's
backers with a similarly belligerent - "mta do?!"
UHURU HAS THE ANSWER:
These two belligerent narratives are bound to clash. The ICC process
may kick them off. What's clear is that they don't have a technical fix,
only a political one. President Kenyatta has the instruments and wits
to appreciate this and act on it. He really doesn't have an option, as
the machinery doesn't exist to protect his tribesmen from opprobria
directed against the most dispersed ethnic group in the country. It will
be an exercise of managing the end of the post-colonial state that will
be as messy as he and his advisors decide it should be.
Kenya's soft Insurgency by John Githongo
Some
weeks ago a Cabinet Secretary tried to address belligerent mourners at a
funeral in Kisii and was shouted down even when forced to revert to his
native tongue in an attempt to calm them.
Government officials who tried to address members of the Maasai
community who’d been evicted from their homes in Naivasha met a
similarly hostile reception and were forced to beat a hasty retreat.
This was followed not long after by a by-election in Makueni in what was
Eastern Province, where a CORD candidate who had campaigned for merely
four days and won over 90 percent of the vote pulverized the ruling
Jubilee party’s candidate.
All this transpired as the government and our Kenya National Union of
Teachers (KNUT) went back and forth in an increasingly acrimonious
negotiation over salaries. Eventually, it took the intervention of the
Deputy President and President themselves to work out a solution which
nevertheless left a bitter taste in the mouth when teachers realized the
government had deducted the days they had been on strike from their
July salaries.
This was eventually sorted out and the salaries paid in full in
August. Curiously, one of the ‘conditions’ of the deal was that the
teachers support the Jubilee government’s ambitious school
computerization programme – not a sign of confidence.
I spent a week in Western Province recently. Mainly listening to
groups of citizens of all ages as they analyzed their condition and the
general Kenyan one as well. I was particularly keen on visiting friends
in Bungoma and Trans Nzoia where episodes of criminality and violence
against individuals and families had seemingly escalated dramatically
since the election in March.
People I knew had lost their lives in the spate of insecurity that is
ongoing to this day. Indeed, as I left a gang raided Kumukuywa Market
in Bungoma North and killed one administration policeman and injured
another. The officers were reportedly responding to calls for help by
villagers who were under attack by the gang.
This violent incident was merely the latest of many since the
election that have turned the lives of many Kenyans from Trans Nzoia,
through Bungoma and into Busia Counties upside down. More than the
violence itself and the succession of funerals it has caused, the
apparent helplessness of the security forces in the face of it has been
the most confusing and disconcerting. It has done much to undermine
already low confidence in the security services and administration
generally.
“LET THE AIRPORT BURN!”
Then a week and half ago the arrivals terminal of the region’s main
transport hub, our Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) burnt
down. I was late in catching up with this shocking news. The fire
happened on the anniversary of the terrorist attack on the US Embassy in
Nairobi in 1998 so unsurprisingly initial speculation was that they’d
struck again.
Such ideas were quickly set aside, however, as it became clear the
cause may have been very domestic and the response hugely embarrassing
in its ineptitude. What struck me, however, was when I raised the issue
with individuals who don’t support (some don’t even recognize) the
Jubilee government as ‘theirs’. The attitude was, “Let it burn! Let them
learn!” The them here being very much the Jubilee administration and
more specifically when pressed, them being Gikuyus first and Kalenjins
second. This depth of polarization astounded me.
When the Ufundi Cooperative House collapsed as a result of the 1998
attack on the US Embassy I remember the way Kenyans rallied together in
one of the most inspiring moments of national unity and pride in
decades. Even President Moi, Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Charity Ngilu
and Kijana Wamalwa temporarily set aside their political differences and
in a tremendously shrewd and unifying move – all visited the site of
the collapse together.
The current atmosphere most certainly doesn’t seem to allow for such
episodes of nation-building displays of leadership. This should be of
considerable concern to all of us all. This is especially the case, when
one considers the fact that the divisive ICC process kicks off next
month with the start of William Ruto’s case.
I was struck this week by the number of questions put to me about
what this case would mean if it emerges that some of the over 40
witnesses the Chief Prosecutor has lined up against him are Gikuyu or
Luo etc… This disconcerted quizzing is caused primarily by the fact
that, in my opinion, in an effort to ‘keep the peace’ and play down the
ICC cases as interrupters of national events, supporters of the
President and Deputy President and elements of the media have played up
the fact that with every witness who falls by the wayside, the cases
will collapse.
So much so that in some parts of the country there are those who
believe such a collapse to be inevitable. It may very well be. I don’t
know. On the other hand it may very well not be the case. Then what?
Similarly, with regard to the Makueni by-election, the comportment of
area residents that I have spoken to changes immediately you gently
enquire into why the community voted so overwhelmingly against the
government; for it was more a vote against than for anybody or anything;
it was a demonstration of feelings collectively and deeply held. One
voter told me, “In Makueni we could have elected a dog as Senator to
teach them a lesson!” In the same vein Kisii acquaintances I ask about
the fate of government officials who found themselves on the receiving
end of epithets at the funeral last month are more likely than not to
respond saying the incident filled them with pride and satisfaction.
This attitude “We need to show them” emerges out of a narrative among
many non-Gikuyus that ‘the Gikuyu are the problem’. Prior to the
elections there was much talk of the ‘consequences’ of electing
individuals who are defendants before the International Criminal Court
(ICC) especially from the international community.
These have not materialized in a manner that Kenyans feel or take
seriously. Indeed, the more profound consequences have emerged out of
the toxic narrative of ‘the tyranny of numbers’, which essentially holds
that the Gikuyu, Embu and Meru plus one other large community and a
pliant electoral body have elections sown up in perpetuity.
A soft insurgency has grown out of this that has gained a currency so
compelling that in entire swathes of the country – especially in
Eastern, Western, Coast and Nyanza – one can ask if there exists in
coherent form any legitimate and functional central authority in Kenya.
For indeed, it is the central authority of the regime that has suffered
the most dramatic attrition as a result of the accompanying process of
devolution. Among the security services, one senses an almost
existential discombobulation on the part of forces – the provincial
administration and police in particular - that are at sea in this new
order. It almost makes one conclude that it shan’t be long before the
Counties – which are political units in which wananchi have most vested
their ownership and legitimacy, make a robust claim to the provision of
security at the County level too.
In some of these areas, Gikuyu traders have already started to
complain of a ‘cold war’ on the business front, for example, with
non-Gikuyu customers opting to take their business elsewhere.
Regimes whose legitimacy is questioned by certain communities and in
certain parts of the country are not new to Kenya. During the Moi era,
especially after the reintroduction of political pluralism, much of
Central Province and other parts of the country inhabited by the Gikuyu
community effectively ‘checked out’ and turned their backs to the
regime. The provincial administration in these areas treaded carefully
in the understanding that they were in politically hostile territory. A
similar fate has befallen the Kenyatta presidency this time around.
There are parts of the country where people can’t utter the words: “Rais
Uhuru Kenyatta”. This ‘belligerent’ turning of backs to the
administration is, however, received on the ground by the President’s
backers with a similarly belligerent – “mta do?!”
UHURU HAS THE ANSWER
These two belligerent narratives are bound to clash. The ICC process
may kick them off. What’s clear is that they don’t have a technical fix,
only a political one. President Kenyatta has the instruments and wits
to appreciate this and act on it. He really doesn’t have an option, as
the machinery doesn’t exist to protect his tribesmen from opprobria
directed against the most dispersed ethnic group in the country. It will
be an exercise of managing the end of the post-colonial state that will
be as messy as he and his advisors decide it should be.
- See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-132364/kenyas-soft-insurgency#sthash.kskNgJgJ.dpuf
Some
weeks ago a Cabinet Secretary tried to address belligerent mourners at a
funeral in Kisii and was shouted down even when forced to revert to his
native tongue in an attempt to calm them.
Government officials who tried to address members of the Maasai
community who’d been evicted from their homes in Naivasha met a
similarly hostile reception and were forced to beat a hasty retreat.
This was followed not long after by a by-election in Makueni in what was
Eastern Province, where a CORD candidate who had campaigned for merely
four days and won over 90 percent of the vote pulverized the ruling
Jubilee party’s candidate.
All this transpired as the government and our Kenya National Union of
Teachers (KNUT) went back and forth in an increasingly acrimonious
negotiation over salaries. Eventually, it took the intervention of the
Deputy President and President themselves to work out a solution which
nevertheless left a bitter taste in the mouth when teachers realized the
government had deducted the days they had been on strike from their
July salaries.
This was eventually sorted out and the salaries paid in full in
August. Curiously, one of the ‘conditions’ of the deal was that the
teachers support the Jubilee government’s ambitious school
computerization programme – not a sign of confidence.
I spent a week in Western Province recently. Mainly listening to
groups of citizens of all ages as they analyzed their condition and the
general Kenyan one as well. I was particularly keen on visiting friends
in Bungoma and Trans Nzoia where episodes of criminality and violence
against individuals and families had seemingly escalated dramatically
since the election in March.
People I knew had lost their lives in the spate of insecurity that is
ongoing to this day. Indeed, as I left a gang raided Kumukuywa Market
in Bungoma North and killed one administration policeman and injured
another. The officers were reportedly responding to calls for help by
villagers who were under attack by the gang.
This violent incident was merely the latest of many since the
election that have turned the lives of many Kenyans from Trans Nzoia,
through Bungoma and into Busia Counties upside down. More than the
violence itself and the succession of funerals it has caused, the
apparent helplessness of the security forces in the face of it has been
the most confusing and disconcerting. It has done much to undermine
already low confidence in the security services and administration
generally.
“LET THE AIRPORT BURN!”
Then a week and half ago the arrivals terminal of the region’s main
transport hub, our Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) burnt
down. I was late in catching up with this shocking news. The fire
happened on the anniversary of the terrorist attack on the US Embassy in
Nairobi in 1998 so unsurprisingly initial speculation was that they’d
struck again.
Such ideas were quickly set aside, however, as it became clear the
cause may have been very domestic and the response hugely embarrassing
in its ineptitude. What struck me, however, was when I raised the issue
with individuals who don’t support (some don’t even recognize) the
Jubilee government as ‘theirs’. The attitude was, “Let it burn! Let them
learn!” The them here being very much the Jubilee administration and
more specifically when pressed, them being Gikuyus first and Kalenjins
second. This depth of polarization astounded me.
When the Ufundi Cooperative House collapsed as a result of the 1998
attack on the US Embassy I remember the way Kenyans rallied together in
one of the most inspiring moments of national unity and pride in
decades. Even President Moi, Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Charity Ngilu
and Kijana Wamalwa temporarily set aside their political differences and
in a tremendously shrewd and unifying move – all visited the site of
the collapse together.
The current atmosphere most certainly doesn’t seem to allow for such
episodes of nation-building displays of leadership. This should be of
considerable concern to all of us all. This is especially the case, when
one considers the fact that the divisive ICC process kicks off next
month with the start of William Ruto’s case.
I was struck this week by the number of questions put to me about
what this case would mean if it emerges that some of the over 40
witnesses the Chief Prosecutor has lined up against him are Gikuyu or
Luo etc… This disconcerted quizzing is caused primarily by the fact
that, in my opinion, in an effort to ‘keep the peace’ and play down the
ICC cases as interrupters of national events, supporters of the
President and Deputy President and elements of the media have played up
the fact that with every witness who falls by the wayside, the cases
will collapse.
So much so that in some parts of the country there are those who
believe such a collapse to be inevitable. It may very well be. I don’t
know. On the other hand it may very well not be the case. Then what?
Similarly, with regard to the Makueni by-election, the comportment of
area residents that I have spoken to changes immediately you gently
enquire into why the community voted so overwhelmingly against the
government; for it was more a vote against than for anybody or anything;
it was a demonstration of feelings collectively and deeply held. One
voter told me, “In Makueni we could have elected a dog as Senator to
teach them a lesson!” In the same vein Kisii acquaintances I ask about
the fate of government officials who found themselves on the receiving
end of epithets at the funeral last month are more likely than not to
respond saying the incident filled them with pride and satisfaction.
This attitude “We need to show them” emerges out of a narrative among
many non-Gikuyus that ‘the Gikuyu are the problem’. Prior to the
elections there was much talk of the ‘consequences’ of electing
individuals who are defendants before the International Criminal Court
(ICC) especially from the international community.
These have not materialized in a manner that Kenyans feel or take
seriously. Indeed, the more profound consequences have emerged out of
the toxic narrative of ‘the tyranny of numbers’, which essentially holds
that the Gikuyu, Embu and Meru plus one other large community and a
pliant electoral body have elections sown up in perpetuity.
A soft insurgency has grown out of this that has gained a currency so
compelling that in entire swathes of the country – especially in
Eastern, Western, Coast and Nyanza – one can ask if there exists in
coherent form any legitimate and functional central authority in Kenya.
For indeed, it is the central authority of the regime that has suffered
the most dramatic attrition as a result of the accompanying process of
devolution. Among the security services, one senses an almost
existential discombobulation on the part of forces – the provincial
administration and police in particular - that are at sea in this new
order. It almost makes one conclude that it shan’t be long before the
Counties – which are political units in which wananchi have most vested
their ownership and legitimacy, make a robust claim to the provision of
security at the County level too.
In some of these areas, Gikuyu traders have already started to
complain of a ‘cold war’ on the business front, for example, with
non-Gikuyu customers opting to take their business elsewhere.
Regimes whose legitimacy is questioned by certain communities and in
certain parts of the country are not new to Kenya. During the Moi era,
especially after the reintroduction of political pluralism, much of
Central Province and other parts of the country inhabited by the Gikuyu
community effectively ‘checked out’ and turned their backs to the
regime. The provincial administration in these areas treaded carefully
in the understanding that they were in politically hostile territory. A
similar fate has befallen the Kenyatta presidency this time around.
There are parts of the country where people can’t utter the words: “Rais
Uhuru Kenyatta”. This ‘belligerent’ turning of backs to the
administration is, however, received on the ground by the President’s
backers with a similarly belligerent – “mta do?!”
UHURU HAS THE ANSWER
These two belligerent narratives are bound to clash. The ICC process
may kick them off. What’s clear is that they don’t have a technical fix,
only a political one. President Kenyatta has the instruments and wits
to appreciate this and act on it. He really doesn’t have an option, as
the machinery doesn’t exist to protect his tribesmen from opprobria
directed against the most dispersed ethnic group in the country. It will
be an exercise of managing the end of the post-colonial state that will
be as messy as he and his advisors decide it should be.
- See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-132364/kenyas-soft-insurgency#sthash.kskNgJgJ.dpuf
Some
weeks ago a Cabinet Secretary tried to address belligerent mourners at a
funeral in Kisii and was shouted down even when forced to revert to his
native tongue in an attempt to calm them.
Government officials who tried to address members of the Maasai
community who’d been evicted from their homes in Naivasha met a
similarly hostile reception and were forced to beat a hasty retreat.
This was followed not long after by a by-election in Makueni in what was
Eastern Province, where a CORD candidate who had campaigned for merely
four days and won over 90 percent of the vote pulverized the ruling
Jubilee party’s candidate.
All this transpired as the government and our Kenya National Union of
Teachers (KNUT) went back and forth in an increasingly acrimonious
negotiation over salaries. Eventually, it took the intervention of the
Deputy President and President themselves to work out a solution which
nevertheless left a bitter taste in the mouth when teachers realized the
government had deducted the days they had been on strike from their
July salaries.
This was eventually sorted out and the salaries paid in full in
August. Curiously, one of the ‘conditions’ of the deal was that the
teachers support the Jubilee government’s ambitious school
computerization programme – not a sign of confidence.
I spent a week in Western Province recently. Mainly listening to
groups of citizens of all ages as they analyzed their condition and the
general Kenyan one as well. I was particularly keen on visiting friends
in Bungoma and Trans Nzoia where episodes of criminality and violence
against individuals and families had seemingly escalated dramatically
since the election in March.
People I knew had lost their lives in the spate of insecurity that is
ongoing to this day. Indeed, as I left a gang raided Kumukuywa Market
in Bungoma North and killed one administration policeman and injured
another. The officers were reportedly responding to calls for help by
villagers who were under attack by the gang.
This violent incident was merely the latest of many since the
election that have turned the lives of many Kenyans from Trans Nzoia,
through Bungoma and into Busia Counties upside down. More than the
violence itself and the succession of funerals it has caused, the
apparent helplessness of the security forces in the face of it has been
the most confusing and disconcerting. It has done much to undermine
already low confidence in the security services and administration
generally.
“LET THE AIRPORT BURN!”
Then a week and half ago the arrivals terminal of the region’s main
transport hub, our Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) burnt
down. I was late in catching up with this shocking news. The fire
happened on the anniversary of the terrorist attack on the US Embassy in
Nairobi in 1998 so unsurprisingly initial speculation was that they’d
struck again.
Such ideas were quickly set aside, however, as it became clear the
cause may have been very domestic and the response hugely embarrassing
in its ineptitude. What struck me, however, was when I raised the issue
with individuals who don’t support (some don’t even recognize) the
Jubilee government as ‘theirs’. The attitude was, “Let it burn! Let them
learn!” The them here being very much the Jubilee administration and
more specifically when pressed, them being Gikuyus first and Kalenjins
second. This depth of polarization astounded me.
When the Ufundi Cooperative House collapsed as a result of the 1998
attack on the US Embassy I remember the way Kenyans rallied together in
one of the most inspiring moments of national unity and pride in
decades. Even President Moi, Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Charity Ngilu
and Kijana Wamalwa temporarily set aside their political differences and
in a tremendously shrewd and unifying move – all visited the site of
the collapse together.
The current atmosphere most certainly doesn’t seem to allow for such
episodes of nation-building displays of leadership. This should be of
considerable concern to all of us all. This is especially the case, when
one considers the fact that the divisive ICC process kicks off next
month with the start of William Ruto’s case.
I was struck this week by the number of questions put to me about
what this case would mean if it emerges that some of the over 40
witnesses the Chief Prosecutor has lined up against him are Gikuyu or
Luo etc… This disconcerted quizzing is caused primarily by the fact
that, in my opinion, in an effort to ‘keep the peace’ and play down the
ICC cases as interrupters of national events, supporters of the
President and Deputy President and elements of the media have played up
the fact that with every witness who falls by the wayside, the cases
will collapse.
So much so that in some parts of the country there are those who
believe such a collapse to be inevitable. It may very well be. I don’t
know. On the other hand it may very well not be the case. Then what?
Similarly, with regard to the Makueni by-election, the comportment of
area residents that I have spoken to changes immediately you gently
enquire into why the community voted so overwhelmingly against the
government; for it was more a vote against than for anybody or anything;
it was a demonstration of feelings collectively and deeply held. One
voter told me, “In Makueni we could have elected a dog as Senator to
teach them a lesson!” In the same vein Kisii acquaintances I ask about
the fate of government officials who found themselves on the receiving
end of epithets at the funeral last month are more likely than not to
respond saying the incident filled them with pride and satisfaction.
This attitude “We need to show them” emerges out of a narrative among
many non-Gikuyus that ‘the Gikuyu are the problem’. Prior to the
elections there was much talk of the ‘consequences’ of electing
individuals who are defendants before the International Criminal Court
(ICC) especially from the international community.
These have not materialized in a manner that Kenyans feel or take
seriously. Indeed, the more profound consequences have emerged out of
the toxic narrative of ‘the tyranny of numbers’, which essentially holds
that the Gikuyu, Embu and Meru plus one other large community and a
pliant electoral body have elections sown up in perpetuity.
A soft insurgency has grown out of this that has gained a currency so
compelling that in entire swathes of the country – especially in
Eastern, Western, Coast and Nyanza – one can ask if there exists in
coherent form any legitimate and functional central authority in Kenya.
For indeed, it is the central authority of the regime that has suffered
the most dramatic attrition as a result of the accompanying process of
devolution. Among the security services, one senses an almost
existential discombobulation on the part of forces – the provincial
administration and police in particular - that are at sea in this new
order. It almost makes one conclude that it shan’t be long before the
Counties – which are political units in which wananchi have most vested
their ownership and legitimacy, make a robust claim to the provision of
security at the County level too.
In some of these areas, Gikuyu traders have already started to
complain of a ‘cold war’ on the business front, for example, with
non-Gikuyu customers opting to take their business elsewhere.
Regimes whose legitimacy is questioned by certain communities and in
certain parts of the country are not new to Kenya. During the Moi era,
especially after the reintroduction of political pluralism, much of
Central Province and other parts of the country inhabited by the Gikuyu
community effectively ‘checked out’ and turned their backs to the
regime. The provincial administration in these areas treaded carefully
in the understanding that they were in politically hostile territory. A
similar fate has befallen the Kenyatta presidency this time around.
There are parts of the country where people can’t utter the words: “Rais
Uhuru Kenyatta”. This ‘belligerent’ turning of backs to the
administration is, however, received on the ground by the President’s
backers with a similarly belligerent – “mta do?!”
UHURU HAS THE ANSWER
These two belligerent narratives are bound to clash. The ICC process
may kick them off. What’s clear is that they don’t have a technical fix,
only a political one. President Kenyatta has the instruments and wits
to appreciate this and act on it. He really doesn’t have an option, as
the machinery doesn’t exist to protect his tribesmen from opprobria
directed against the most dispersed ethnic group in the country. It will
be an exercise of managing the end of the post-colonial state that will
be as messy as he and his advisors decide it should be.
- See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-132364/kenyas-soft-insurgency#sthash.kskNgJgJ.dpuf
Some
weeks ago a Cabinet Secretary tried to address belligerent mourners at a
funeral in Kisii and was shouted down even when forced to revert to his
native tongue in an attempt to calm them.
Government officials who tried to address members of the Maasai
community who’d been evicted from their homes in Naivasha met a
similarly hostile reception and were forced to beat a hasty retreat.
This was followed not long after by a by-election in Makueni in what was
Eastern Province, where a CORD candidate who had campaigned for merely
four days and won over 90 percent of the vote pulverized the ruling
Jubilee party’s candidate.
All this transpired as the government and our Kenya National Union of
Teachers (KNUT) went back and forth in an increasingly acrimonious
negotiation over salaries. Eventually, it took the intervention of the
Deputy President and President themselves to work out a solution which
nevertheless left a bitter taste in the mouth when teachers realized the
government had deducted the days they had been on strike from their
July salaries.
This was eventually sorted out and the salaries paid in full in
August. Curiously, one of the ‘conditions’ of the deal was that the
teachers support the Jubilee government’s ambitious school
computerization programme – not a sign of confidence.
I spent a week in Western Province recently. Mainly listening to
groups of citizens of all ages as they analyzed their condition and the
general Kenyan one as well. I was particularly keen on visiting friends
in Bungoma and Trans Nzoia where episodes of criminality and violence
against individuals and families had seemingly escalated dramatically
since the election in March.
People I knew had lost their lives in the spate of insecurity that is
ongoing to this day. Indeed, as I left a gang raided Kumukuywa Market
in Bungoma North and killed one administration policeman and injured
another. The officers were reportedly responding to calls for help by
villagers who were under attack by the gang.
This violent incident was merely the latest of many since the
election that have turned the lives of many Kenyans from Trans Nzoia,
through Bungoma and into Busia Counties upside down. More than the
violence itself and the succession of funerals it has caused, the
apparent helplessness of the security forces in the face of it has been
the most confusing and disconcerting. It has done much to undermine
already low confidence in the security services and administration
generally.
“LET THE AIRPORT BURN!”
Then a week and half ago the arrivals terminal of the region’s main
transport hub, our Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) burnt
down. I was late in catching up with this shocking news. The fire
happened on the anniversary of the terrorist attack on the US Embassy in
Nairobi in 1998 so unsurprisingly initial speculation was that they’d
struck again.
Such ideas were quickly set aside, however, as it became clear the
cause may have been very domestic and the response hugely embarrassing
in its ineptitude. What struck me, however, was when I raised the issue
with individuals who don’t support (some don’t even recognize) the
Jubilee government as ‘theirs’. The attitude was, “Let it burn! Let them
learn!” The them here being very much the Jubilee administration and
more specifically when pressed, them being Gikuyus first and Kalenjins
second. This depth of polarization astounded me.
When the Ufundi Cooperative House collapsed as a result of the 1998
attack on the US Embassy I remember the way Kenyans rallied together in
one of the most inspiring moments of national unity and pride in
decades. Even President Moi, Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Charity Ngilu
and Kijana Wamalwa temporarily set aside their political differences and
in a tremendously shrewd and unifying move – all visited the site of
the collapse together.
The current atmosphere most certainly doesn’t seem to allow for such
episodes of nation-building displays of leadership. This should be of
considerable concern to all of us all. This is especially the case, when
one considers the fact that the divisive ICC process kicks off next
month with the start of William Ruto’s case.
I was struck this week by the number of questions put to me about
what this case would mean if it emerges that some of the over 40
witnesses the Chief Prosecutor has lined up against him are Gikuyu or
Luo etc… This disconcerted quizzing is caused primarily by the fact
that, in my opinion, in an effort to ‘keep the peace’ and play down the
ICC cases as interrupters of national events, supporters of the
President and Deputy President and elements of the media have played up
the fact that with every witness who falls by the wayside, the cases
will collapse.
So much so that in some parts of the country there are those who
believe such a collapse to be inevitable. It may very well be. I don’t
know. On the other hand it may very well not be the case. Then what?
Similarly, with regard to the Makueni by-election, the comportment of
area residents that I have spoken to changes immediately you gently
enquire into why the community voted so overwhelmingly against the
government; for it was more a vote against than for anybody or anything;
it was a demonstration of feelings collectively and deeply held. One
voter told me, “In Makueni we could have elected a dog as Senator to
teach them a lesson!” In the same vein Kisii acquaintances I ask about
the fate of government officials who found themselves on the receiving
end of epithets at the funeral last month are more likely than not to
respond saying the incident filled them with pride and satisfaction.
This attitude “We need to show them” emerges out of a narrative among
many non-Gikuyus that ‘the Gikuyu are the problem’. Prior to the
elections there was much talk of the ‘consequences’ of electing
individuals who are defendants before the International Criminal Court
(ICC) especially from the international community.
These have not materialized in a manner that Kenyans feel or take
seriously. Indeed, the more profound consequences have emerged out of
the toxic narrative of ‘the tyranny of numbers’, which essentially holds
that the Gikuyu, Embu and Meru plus one other large community and a
pliant electoral body have elections sown up in perpetuity.
A soft insurgency has grown out of this that has gained a currency so
compelling that in entire swathes of the country – especially in
Eastern, Western, Coast and Nyanza – one can ask if there exists in
coherent form any legitimate and functional central authority in Kenya.
For indeed, it is the central authority of the regime that has suffered
the most dramatic attrition as a result of the accompanying process of
devolution. Among the security services, one senses an almost
existential discombobulation on the part of forces – the provincial
administration and police in particular - that are at sea in this new
order. It almost makes one conclude that it shan’t be long before the
Counties – which are political units in which wananchi have most vested
their ownership and legitimacy, make a robust claim to the provision of
security at the County level too.
In some of these areas, Gikuyu traders have already started to
complain of a ‘cold war’ on the business front, for example, with
non-Gikuyu customers opting to take their business elsewhere.
Regimes whose legitimacy is questioned by certain communities and in
certain parts of the country are not new to Kenya. During the Moi era,
especially after the reintroduction of political pluralism, much of
Central Province and other parts of the country inhabited by the Gikuyu
community effectively ‘checked out’ and turned their backs to the
regime. The provincial administration in these areas treaded carefully
in the understanding that they were in politically hostile territory. A
similar fate has befallen the Kenyatta presidency this time around.
There are parts of the country where people can’t utter the words: “Rais
Uhuru Kenyatta”. This ‘belligerent’ turning of backs to the
administration is, however, received on the ground by the President’s
backers with a similarly belligerent – “mta do?!”
UHURU HAS THE ANSWER
These two belligerent narratives are bound to clash. The ICC process
may kick them off. What’s clear is that they don’t have a technical fix,
only a political one. President Kenyatta has the instruments and wits
to appreciate this and act on it. He really doesn’t have an option, as
the machinery doesn’t exist to protect his tribesmen from opprobria
directed against the most dispersed ethnic group in the country. It will
be an exercise of managing the end of the post-colonial state that will
be as messy as he and his advisors decide it should be.
- See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-132364/kenyas-soft-insurgency#sthash.kskNgJgJ.dpuf
Some
weeks ago a Cabinet Secretary tried to address belligerent mourners at a
funeral in Kisii and was shouted down even when forced to revert to his
native tongue in an attempt to calm them.
Government officials who tried to address members of the Maasai
community who’d been evicted from their homes in Naivasha met a
similarly hostile reception and were forced to beat a hasty retreat.
This was followed not long after by a by-election in Makueni in what was
Eastern Province, where a CORD candidate who had campaigned for merely
four days and won over 90 percent of the vote pulverized the ruling
Jubilee party’s candidate.
All this transpired as the government and our Kenya National Union of
Teachers (KNUT) went back and forth in an increasingly acrimonious
negotiation over salaries. Eventually, it took the intervention of the
Deputy President and President themselves to work out a solution which
nevertheless left a bitter taste in the mouth when teachers realized the
government had deducted the days they had been on strike from their
July salaries.
This was eventually sorted out and the salaries paid in full in
August. Curiously, one of the ‘conditions’ of the deal was that the
teachers support the Jubilee government’s ambitious school
computerization programme – not a sign of confidence.
I spent a week in Western Province recently. Mainly listening to
groups of citizens of all ages as they analyzed their condition and the
general Kenyan one as well. I was particularly keen on visiting friends
in Bungoma and Trans Nzoia where episodes of criminality and violence
against individuals and families had seemingly escalated dramatically
since the election in March.
People I knew had lost their lives in the spate of insecurity that is
ongoing to this day. Indeed, as I left a gang raided Kumukuywa Market
in Bungoma North and killed one administration policeman and injured
another. The officers were reportedly responding to calls for help by
villagers who were under attack by the gang.
This violent incident was merely the latest of many since the
election that have turned the lives of many Kenyans from Trans Nzoia,
through Bungoma and into Busia Counties upside down. More than the
violence itself and the succession of funerals it has caused, the
apparent helplessness of the security forces in the face of it has been
the most confusing and disconcerting. It has done much to undermine
already low confidence in the security services and administration
generally.
“LET THE AIRPORT BURN!”
Then a week and half ago the arrivals terminal of the region’s main
transport hub, our Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) burnt
down. I was late in catching up with this shocking news. The fire
happened on the anniversary of the terrorist attack on the US Embassy in
Nairobi in 1998 so unsurprisingly initial speculation was that they’d
struck again.
Such ideas were quickly set aside, however, as it became clear the
cause may have been very domestic and the response hugely embarrassing
in its ineptitude. What struck me, however, was when I raised the issue
with individuals who don’t support (some don’t even recognize) the
Jubilee government as ‘theirs’. The attitude was, “Let it burn! Let them
learn!” The them here being very much the Jubilee administration and
more specifically when pressed, them being Gikuyus first and Kalenjins
second. This depth of polarization astounded me.
When the Ufundi Cooperative House collapsed as a result of the 1998
attack on the US Embassy I remember the way Kenyans rallied together in
one of the most inspiring moments of national unity and pride in
decades. Even President Moi, Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Charity Ngilu
and Kijana Wamalwa temporarily set aside their political differences and
in a tremendously shrewd and unifying move – all visited the site of
the collapse together.
The current atmosphere most certainly doesn’t seem to allow for such
episodes of nation-building displays of leadership. This should be of
considerable concern to all of us all. This is especially the case, when
one considers the fact that the divisive ICC process kicks off next
month with the start of William Ruto’s case.
I was struck this week by the number of questions put to me about
what this case would mean if it emerges that some of the over 40
witnesses the Chief Prosecutor has lined up against him are Gikuyu or
Luo etc… This disconcerted quizzing is caused primarily by the fact
that, in my opinion, in an effort to ‘keep the peace’ and play down the
ICC cases as interrupters of national events, supporters of the
President and Deputy President and elements of the media have played up
the fact that with every witness who falls by the wayside, the cases
will collapse.
So much so that in some parts of the country there are those who
believe such a collapse to be inevitable. It may very well be. I don’t
know. On the other hand it may very well not be the case. Then what?
Similarly, with regard to the Makueni by-election, the comportment of
area residents that I have spoken to changes immediately you gently
enquire into why the community voted so overwhelmingly against the
government; for it was more a vote against than for anybody or anything;
it was a demonstration of feelings collectively and deeply held. One
voter told me, “In Makueni we could have elected a dog as Senator to
teach them a lesson!” In the same vein Kisii acquaintances I ask about
the fate of government officials who found themselves on the receiving
end of epithets at the funeral last month are more likely than not to
respond saying the incident filled them with pride and satisfaction.
This attitude “We need to show them” emerges out of a narrative among
many non-Gikuyus that ‘the Gikuyu are the problem’. Prior to the
elections there was much talk of the ‘consequences’ of electing
individuals who are defendants before the International Criminal Court
(ICC) especially from the international community.
These have not materialized in a manner that Kenyans feel or take
seriously. Indeed, the more profound consequences have emerged out of
the toxic narrative of ‘the tyranny of numbers’, which essentially holds
that the Gikuyu, Embu and Meru plus one other large community and a
pliant electoral body have elections sown up in perpetuity.
A soft insurgency has grown out of this that has gained a currency so
compelling that in entire swathes of the country – especially in
Eastern, Western, Coast and Nyanza – one can ask if there exists in
coherent form any legitimate and functional central authority in Kenya.
For indeed, it is the central authority of the regime that has suffered
the most dramatic attrition as a result of the accompanying process of
devolution. Among the security services, one senses an almost
existential discombobulation on the part of forces – the provincial
administration and police in particular - that are at sea in this new
order. It almost makes one conclude that it shan’t be long before the
Counties – which are political units in which wananchi have most vested
their ownership and legitimacy, make a robust claim to the provision of
security at the County level too.
In some of these areas, Gikuyu traders have already started to
complain of a ‘cold war’ on the business front, for example, with
non-Gikuyu customers opting to take their business elsewhere.
Regimes whose legitimacy is questioned by certain communities and in
certain parts of the country are not new to Kenya. During the Moi era,
especially after the reintroduction of political pluralism, much of
Central Province and other parts of the country inhabited by the Gikuyu
community effectively ‘checked out’ and turned their backs to the
regime. The provincial administration in these areas treaded carefully
in the understanding that they were in politically hostile territory. A
similar fate has befallen the Kenyatta presidency this time around.
There are parts of the country where people can’t utter the words: “Rais
Uhuru Kenyatta”. This ‘belligerent’ turning of backs to the
administration is, however, received on the ground by the President’s
backers with a similarly belligerent – “mta do?!”
UHURU HAS THE ANSWER
These two belligerent narratives are bound to clash. The ICC process
may kick them off. What’s clear is that they don’t have a technical fix,
only a political one. President Kenyatta has the instruments and wits
to appreciate this and act on it. He really doesn’t have an option, as
the machinery doesn’t exist to protect his tribesmen from opprobria
directed against the most dispersed ethnic group in the country. It will
be an exercise of managing the end of the post-colonial state that will
be as messy as he and his advisors decide it should be.
- See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-132364/kenyas-soft-insurgency#sthash.kskNgJgJ.dpuf